Sunday's Best Bets
Bet: Emi Buendía to score
Stake: 1 unit
Odds: 4.30 (Starsports). Would still take 4.00 at Sky
Fair price: ~3.83
Reasoning
Buendía is likely to be on penalties, which materially boosts his goal equity at this price.
His underlying output is solid, averaging 2.88 shots per 90, which supports the idea that his numbers can convert with normal variance.
He profiles as the type of player who can benefit playing off a central striker like Tammy Abraham, finding pockets and arriving late.
At 4.30, the market is still offering enough margin to justify involvement.
Bet: Bruno Fernandes to score
Stake: 1 unit
Odds: 3.25 (BetVictor)
Minimum price: Would not take less
Reasoning
This is a familiar angle for us and one that has paid off repeatedly.
Fernandes remains heavily involved in shots, set pieces and penalties, keeping his scoring routes intact.
I make him closer to a 3.03 chance, so there is still a small but meaningful edge at 3.25.
Books have started to catch up, which limits upside, but the fundamentals behind the bet have not changed.
Bet: Endrick to score
Stake: 1 unit
Odds: 2.88 (Betway)
Reasoning
Endrick has always profiled as a high-volume shooter and that has translated immediately in this spell.
He scored 4 goals in his first 3 games, settling quickly and playing with confidence.
His underlying numbers are excellent, with an xG of 0.85 per 90 and 4.79 shots per game, which is elite territory.
With the World Cup approaching, motivation and minutes should remain strong, making this a straightforward numbers-based play at 2.88.